The art of conjecture
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The art of conjecture

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Published by Weidenfeld & Nicolson in London .
Written in English

Subjects:

  • Prediction (Logic)

Book details:

Edition Notes

StatementTranslated from the French by Nikita Lary.
The Physical Object
Paginationxii, 307 p. ;
Number of Pages307
ID Numbers
Open LibraryOL16547866M

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OCLC Number: Notes: Translation of L'art de la conjecture. Description: xii, pages ; 25 cm: Other Titles: Art de la conjecture. Responsibility. Bertrand de Jouvenel is one of the fathers of modern foresight. In his book "The Art of Conjecture," the author analyzes various aspects of foresight. The whole interwoven into three levels: sociological, economic and political. This intellectual adventure and helpful /5. That is a problem, one on which de Jouvenel focuses on in this Art of Conjecture clearly explains what the "study of the future" can mean. De Jouvenel emphasizes the logical and political problems of forecasting and discusses methods in economics, sociology, and political science by which the future can be studied. the art of conjecture Download the art of conjecture or read online books in PDF, EPUB, Tuebl, and Mobi Format. Click Download or Read Online button to get the art of conjecture book now. This site is like a library, Use search box in the widget to get ebook that you want.

  That is a problem, one on which de Jouvenel focuses on in this book. The Art of Conjecture clearly explains what the "study of the future" can mean. De Jouvenel emphasizes the logical and political problems of forecasting and discusses methods in economics, sociology, and political science by which the future can be studied. More importantly Brand: Transaction Publishers.   That is a problem, one on which de Jouvenel focuses on in this book. The Art of Conjecture clearly explains what the "study of the future" can mean. De Jouvenel emphasizes the logical and political problems of forecasting and discusses methods in economics, sociology, and political science by which the future can be by: Other articles where The Art of Conjecture is discussed: futurology: L’Art de la conjecture (The Art of Conjecture), in which he offered a systematic philosophical rationale for the field. The following year the American Academy of Arts and Sciences formed its Commission on the Year “to anticipate social patterns, to design new institutions, and to propose alternative programs”;. Ars Conjectandi (Latin for "The Art of Conjecturing") is a book on combinatorics and mathematical probability written by Jacob Bernoulli and published in , eight years after his death, by his nephew, Niklaus seminal work consolidated, apart from many combinatorial topics, many central ideas in probability theory, such as the very first version of the law of large numbers.

In The Art of Causal Conjecture, Glenn Shafer lays out a new mathematical and philosophical foundation for probability and uses it to explain concepts of causality used in statistics, artificial intelligence, and various disciplines that use causal reasoning differ in the relative weight they put on security and precision of knowledge as opposed to timeliness of action.   That is a problem, one on which de Jouvenel focuses on in this Art of Conjecture clearly explains what the "study of the future" can mean. De Jouvenel emphasizes the logical and political problems of forecasting and discusses methods in economics, sociology, and political science by which the future can be : That is a problem, one on which de Jouvenel focuses on in this book. The Art of Conjecture clearly explains what the "study of the future" can mean. De Jouvenel emphasizes the logical and political problems of forecasting and discusses methods in economics, sociology, and political science by which the future can be : Bertrand De Jouvenel. Additional Physical Format: Online version: Jouvenel, Bertrand de, Art of conjecture. New York, Basic Books [] (OCoLC) Document Type.